The Probability of Dealer's Bust in Blackjack

Playing blackjack in casinos is not merely about playing against chances. Contrary to other casino games where the house advantage is usually constant, blackjack players have better probability of winning the advantage to their favor once they have mastered a good blackjack strategy.

The blackjack game is usually ruled by a mathematical concept on probability. The blackjack player has better play advantage once they know how to determine the probability and odds in the game of blackjack.

With a good strategy, a blackjack player can make an accurate and reliable decision when dealing with their cards. A blackjack player can have better edge of their game against the dealer through a simple yet effective strategy of playing blackjack. This is already a proven fact based from previous computer simulations tested.

While playing blackjack the player has incomplete information about the dealer's hole card and without knowing the future cards to be dealt next. Players only know their hand value and the up card value of the dealer's.

A blackjack player can assess the probability of the dealer to bust from certain cards by consulting a strategy card which reflects the percentage that the dealer will bust. This will give the player an advantage of knowing which cards are likely to cause the dealer to bust thereby allowing them to take the opportunity to double down.

Blackjack players should note that dealers have the highest probability of busting at card value of 5 and 6 followed by 4. The probability to bust with these card values is close to 42% and 40% accordingly. This is a great opportunity for the blackjack player to double down more often once the dealer has card values of 4 to 6.

Players will also know the probability of losing against the dealer when the dealer has a card of ace, 9 and 10. This enables a blackjack player know where they stand based on the probability shown from the cards dealt by the dealer.

Blackjack players have better probability of making more money when the dealer's hand shows cards that allow them to double down. These are the card values of 4, 5 and 6. With an increased probability of the dealer to bust the better the odd is to the player to win.

Blackjack players can always reduce the house advantage to the minimum by a good strategy in knowing when is best to hit, stand and double down. The bust percentage of the dealer does provide useful information to the player when making decisions in an effort of bringing better probability on their games.